Image Credit: UAA
A frustrating roller coaster game with the Florida Gators imploding early only to quickly regroup before falling apart in the latter stages has led to what must be considered the program’s worst loss under head coach Billy Napier. Florida lost 39-36 in overtime to the Arkansas Razorbacks on Saturday afternoon with the visitors winning their first-ever game inside Ben Hill Griffin Stadium (0-5 previously).
The Gators spotted the Hogs a 14-point lead after the game’s first two possessions but rallied to tie the contest at halftime. Florida then took three separate leads in the second half only to allow Arkansas to fight back every time. Ultimately, UF missed a makable field goal at the end of regulation and settled for a field goal in the first overtime period before the Hogs easily scored a touchdown on their overtime possession for the win.
The Gators dropped to 5-4 (3-3 SEC) with the loss, while the Razorbacks (3-6, 1-5 SEC) won their first league game of the season while snapping a six-game losing streak.
“There’s a lot of blame to be spread out. This game in particular, we’re going to look at all parts of our team. … It’s all under evaluation,” Napier said.
With Florida set to be significant underdogs in its final three games of the season, bowl eligibility chances plummeted with Saturday’s loss, and the Gators may now finish with a worse record in Year 2 under Napier than they achieved in Year 1.
Let’s take a closer look at what went wrong for Florida in Saturday’s disastrous result.
Offense
Players make mistakes in every game. Coaches do, too, but they are supposed to mitigate their players’ miscues by being as sound as possible when it comes to game management and play calling. That was not the case for Napier today, and it certainly wasn’t the case for defensive coordinator Austin Armstrong, either.
The most notable error came on the final couple plays of regulation after redshirt junior quarterback Graham Mertz drove the Gators down the field in a tie game with 44 seconds and no timeouts remaining. Florida could not stop the clock in this situation because Napier blew two timeouts early in the fourth quarter to avoid procedure penalties on what wound up being a field-goal drive with about 8 minutes to play.
After Mertz completed a perfect 20-yard pass to redshirt freshman tight end Arlis Boardingham to get down to the Arkansas 21-yard line, Florida hurried down the field for the spike to stop the clock. However, out of nowhere, players started coming off the Gators’ sideline onto the field, resulting in an illegal substitution penalty. Sophomore kicker Trey Smack subsequently pushed a 44-yard field goal to the right of the uprights, though it was clear the same kick would have been good from 39 yards.
Napier said the mistake came as a player thought he heard the call from a coach to rush the field goal team onto the field. While Napier’s play calling did move Florida down the field with ease and Smack absolutely had a makable kick to win the game at home, the error was nevertheless tough to stomach.
“That’s [a scenario] I haven’t been around before,” Napier said after the game.
That was just the end-of-game scenario, though. Florida did fine offensively with nearly 400 yards in the contest, though Napier far too often called screens behind the line of scrimmage on key downs despite the Gators often finding success moving vertically down the field. Freshman wide receiver Eugene Wilson III dominated the first quarter but went nearly two quarters without a touch. Sophomore running back Trevor Etienne exploded in the second half but was once again used inconsistently with junior Montrell Johnson Jr. out-touching him.
The most frustrating offensive sequence came near the end of the first half. Florida got the ball with 4:39 remaining down three. Rather than being focused on maintaining the team’s momentum, showing urgency and driving the ball down the field, Napier was more focused on running clock as the Gators lackadaisically moved the ball. It felt in the moment like Napier played for the field goal knowing Florida would get the ball at the half; the Gators settled for a 47-yard field goal to tie it at the break.
Defense
The Gators made some frustrating decisions offensively, but where they truly failed Saturday was on defense. Yes, Florida did lose three interior starters (one for the season) before the opening kickoff — and Arkansas quarterback KJ Jefferson eventually found his most success through the middle of the defense late in the game. However, the unit played terribly throughout the contest.
The Gators allowed a Razorbacks offense that scored just three points two weeks ago at home against Mississippi State to rack up season-highs of 481 yards and (against an FBS team) 39 points. This despite the Hogs entering one of the nation’s toughest road environments with an interim offensive coordinator who had never called a play before. (Arkansas had scored 44 points in its prior three games combined.)
Florida’s defense struggled to finish tackles at all three levels. It rarely attacked off the snap, failed to take advantage of a rough offensive line and left receivers wide open for easy third-down conversions. Arkansas was 8 of 18 on third down for the day. The opening touchdown drive was effortless for the Hogs, and in the second half, they were able to charge down the field and score all three times the Gators took a lead, including twice in the fourth quarter.
Through procedural errors and inconsistent play calling, the offense has showed signs of life through the middle third of the season, but the defense has completely fallen off a cliff. The Gators have allowed 40.33 points per game over the last three contests, and next up are three of the nation’s most explosive offenses.
Good
Bad
Ugly
Nothing good on or off the field. Let’s start with on the field where the Gators lost a game they absolutely should have won — full stop. Florida shooting itself in the foot with a 14-point deficit changed the game from the onset, and while the program fought valiantly to tie it in the first quarter and take three second-half leads, it never felt like the Gators had the ability to put the Hogs away. Another sleepy start for a noon ET kickoff brings all sorts of questions about how Napier prepares this team. If this game had been played at night — as Florida certainly expected — no doubt it would have transpired differently. However, that was completely out of UF’s control, and only the team is to blame for the early hole.
Napier has now lost two games to teams with losing records, something neither Dan Mullen nor Jim McElwain nor Will Muschamp nor Urban Meyer nor Ron Zook nor Steve Spurrier achieved.
The Gators now appear to be on the outside looking in when it comes to bowl season. They will be significant underdogs in their three remaining games, all against top-18 teams with the next two coming on the road. More likely than not, Florida will finish the season 5-7 with five straight losses.
If the end fo the year transpires in that fashion, it would give the Gators a 5-10 record in their last 15 games dating back to last season and no bowl practices over which they could potentially improve.
Questions about the offensive play calling and lack of special teams coordinator have persisted, but now, legitimate issues must be raised about the defense after a promising — but as we said at the time, fool’s gold — start to the season.
All of that is what makes this the worst loss of Napier’s tenure — yes, worse than losing on the road to Vanderbilt last year. Florida had a more-than-beatable opponent at home. Its offense was healthy. The interior of the defense was undoubtedly banged up, sure, but the unit wasn’t deficient from a depth chart standpoint. The Gators also had three second-half leads in a must-win game. Yet they still lost.
No, Napier is not going to be fired. His $32 million buyout prevents that from even being a consideration, but it would unlikely be a thought anyway. The immediate concern is retaining the No. 3 recruiting class in the nation, one which has the potential to set up Florida — and Napier himself — for success into the future. If Napier is able to convince that star-studded list of players that a 5-7 Gators team on a five-game skid is worth reviving, it will be his biggest win of 2023.
Florida visits No. 13 LSU next week at a time yet to be determined (though we all know it will be a night game in Death Valley). The Tigers have four straight wins over the Gators since 2019.